Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smithson on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 15 meetings). Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Ott 55.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Smithson leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 61.8%
Defensive zone
Smithson 57.9%
Neutral zone
Smithson 54.1%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Smithson
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Smithson
Ott
Last 10: Smithson 5-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ott
3
4
Smithson
Ott
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
9
6
Smithson
Ott
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smithson
3
2
Smithson
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
57.2% (2,802)
+1.2%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
55.4% (567)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
49.9% (853)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Smithson
Ott
Home
58.4% (1,195)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Smithson
Ott
P1
55.9%
56.7%
P2
55.3%
53.9%
P3
59.0%
55.7%
OT
54.2%
60.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 28, 2013 | OT | 04:41 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:20 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 2 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 19, 2012 | 1 | 01:27 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 12:09 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 3 | 06:12 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 26, 2011 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Steve Ott |