Scouting Report
Jerred Smithson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Smithson wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smithson 56.5% vs Smith 50.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smithson 71.1%
Defensive zone
Smithson 90.4%
Neutral zone
Smithson 88.9%
Result
Jerred Smithson favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Smithson
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Smithson
Smith
Last 5: Smithson 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
1
0
Smithson
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smithson
2
0
Smithson
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smithson
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smithson
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (1,842)
51.6% (5,265)
+6.8%
Power Play
55.6% (45)
51.2% (342)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (443)
45.3% (985)
+5.3%
On even strength, Smithson has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Smithson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,681).
Smithson shoots right. Smith is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,394).
Home / Away
Smithson
Smith
Home
58.4% (1,195)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
55.0% (1,150)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Smithson
Smith
P1
55.9%
49.9%
P2
55.3%
50.0%
P3
59.0%
51.9%
OT
54.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smithson
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jerred Smithson |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Jerred Smithson |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 05:27 | Defensive | Jerred Smithson |