Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +23.7% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 27.7% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 38.8% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-23.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 78.7%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 68.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 51.4%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Boqvist
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Boqvist
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Boqvist
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (196)
58.0% (476)
-24.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
75.0% (8)
-75.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.9% (106)
-50.9%
On power play, Kastelic has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Boqvist is 27.7% vs right-shot opponents (83).
Boqvist shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kastelic
Home
36.6% (82)
64.9% (265)
Away
30.8% (117)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Boqvist
Kastelic
P1
31.1%
58.5%
P2
30.8%
55.6%
P3
38.3%
56.8%
Final 5 min
20.6%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 05:08 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |