Scouting Report
Noah Cates holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Boqvist wins 37.1% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 38.8% vs Cates 40.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 62.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 58.7%
Neutral zone
Cates 55.8%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Boqvist
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Boqvist
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Boqvist
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (196)
40.4% (841)
-6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
42.4% (66)
-42.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
32.7% (147)
-32.7%
On power play, Cates has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Boqvist is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Boqvist shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Cates
Home
36.6% (82)
38.2% (566)
Away
30.8% (117)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Boqvist
Cates
P1
31.1%
40.5%
P2
30.8%
42.4%
P3
38.3%
35.3%
Final 5 min
20.6%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
33.2%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Noah Cates |