Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 34.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Acciari 51.3% (-14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 63.9%
Defensive zone
Acciari 84.8%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 51.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Boqvist
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Boqvist
Acciari
Last 7: Boqvist 3-4 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Boqvist
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Boqvist
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,072)
52.8% (3,276)
-16.0%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
48.2% (85)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.1% (1,061)
-16.3%
On penalty kill, Acciari has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Boqvist is 34.4% vs right-shot opponents (422).
Boqvist shoots left. Acciari is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,236).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Acciari
Home
36.9% (539)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
36.7% (597)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Boqvist
Acciari
P1
38.3%
52.2%
P2
36.2%
51.5%
P3
36.1%
50.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 1 | 10:40 | Defensive | Jesper Boqvist |