Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +19.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 37.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-19.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 90.8%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 65.7%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 78.1%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Boqvist
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Boqvist
Kuraly
Last 5: Boqvist 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Boqvist
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Boqvist
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
1
0
Boqvist
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (66)
58.4% (310)
-20.5%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
66.7% (6)
-23.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Boqvist is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Boqvist shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kuraly
Home
37.0% (27)
57.1% (184)
Away
39.1% (46)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Boqvist
Kuraly
P1
38.1%
56.0%
P2
34.2%
56.6%
P3
53.8%
58.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
38.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |