Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boqvist 90.9%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 58.6%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 81.4%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Boqvist
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Boqvist
Kuraly
Last 8: Boqvist 2-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
Boqvist
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,072)
51.5% (5,141)
-14.7%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
56.0% (100)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
44.2% (1,086)
-13.4%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Boqvist shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Kuraly
Home
36.9% (539)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
36.7% (597)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Boqvist
Kuraly
P1
38.3%
51.1%
P2
36.2%
49.9%
P3
36.1%
50.0%
OT
25.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
37.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| May 4, 2021 | OT | 01:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 17:26 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| May 3, 2021 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |