Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.3% vs 42.8%). Boqvist wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 45.1% vs Thompson 43.7% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 55.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Boqvist
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Boqvist
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boqvist
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (148)
41.9% (597)
+2.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
50.5% (95)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
26.7% (15)
25.0% (12)
+1.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Boqvist is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Boqvist shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Thompson
Home
43.0% (93)
47.1% (367)
Away
41.3% (75)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Boqvist
Thompson
P1
55.9%
44.2%
P2
37.3%
41.6%
P3
31.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
42.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 18:04 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |