Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Boqvist wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 37.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boqvist 71.6%
Defensive zone
Boqvist 54.4%
Neutral zone
Boqvist 77.9%
Result
Jesper Boqvist favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
Boqvist
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Boqvist
Nosek
Last 10: Boqvist 2-8 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boqvist
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
6
Boqvist
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
36.8% (1,072)
54.9% (2,674)
-18.1%
Power Play
42.1% (38)
44.7% (47)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (26)
47.4% (424)
-16.6%
On even strength, Nosek has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Boqvist is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Boqvist shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Nosek
Home
36.9% (539)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
36.7% (597)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Boqvist
Nosek
P1
38.3%
52.3%
P2
36.2%
54.0%
P3
36.1%
54.6%
OT
25.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
36.8%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 04:44 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 04:34 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |