Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boqvist on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boqvist wins 40.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boqvist 39.6% vs Nosek 53.4% (-16.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 59.2%
Defensive zone
Nosek 86.4%
Neutral zone
Nosek 69.4%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Boqvist
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Boqvist
Nosek
Last 7: Boqvist 4-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boqvist
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boqvist
2
1
Boqvist
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boqvist
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (432)
55.1% (557)
-18.5%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (4)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
47.7% (111)
+27.3%
On penalty kill, Boqvist has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Boqvist is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Boqvist shoots left. Nosek is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Home / Away
Boqvist
Nosek
Home
36.3% (182)
52.3% (342)
Away
38.1% (268)
55.5% (330)
By Period
Boqvist
Nosek
P1
35.2%
49.0%
P2
40.4%
53.8%
P3
36.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
36.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boqvist
32.0%▼
39.0%
37.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:43 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Jesper Boqvist |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Jesper Boqvist |