Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Patrick Brown
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brown on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brown shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Brown 56.8% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 89.1%
Defensive zone
Brown 52.5%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 67.4%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 78.3%
78.3%
21.7%
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Last 6: Kotkaniemi 1-5 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brown
0
3
Kotkaniemi
Brown
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brown
1
2
Kotkaniemi
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
61.3% (336)
-11.5%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
50.0% (4)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.9% (74)
+4.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Brown is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Brown
Home
51.7% (203)
61.1% (180)
Away
50.4% (141)
56.4% (234)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Brown
P1
49.5%
57.5%
P2
50.4%
58.5%
P3
53.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
55.1%
61.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:46 | Offensive | Patrick Brown |
| Feb 21, 2022 | 1 | 01:40 | Neutral | Patrick Brown |