Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Suter 49.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.7%
Defensive zone
Suter 51.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 53.8%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Kotkaniemi
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Kotkaniemi
Suter
Last 8: Kotkaniemi 5-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Suter
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Suter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
49.8% (840)
+0.0%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
57.4% (68)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
39.6% (96)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (213).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Suter is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (590).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Suter
Home
51.7% (203)
49.8% (502)
Away
50.4% (141)
48.8% (502)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Suter
P1
49.5%
46.7%
P2
50.4%
51.7%
P3
53.8%
48.9%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
51.2%
Suter
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 19:47 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:56 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Pius Suter |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |