Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Pontus Holmberg
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Holmberg on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Holmberg 47.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holmberg 53.7%
Defensive zone
Holmberg 70.9%
Neutral zone
Holmberg 53.4%
Result
Pontus Holmberg favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 2-3 Holmberg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holmberg
1
3
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
45.7% (175)
+6.0%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
75.0% (8)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
40.0% (20)
+22.5%
On power play, Holmberg has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holmberg shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Holmberg is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (134).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
Home
49.5% (313)
50.9% (112)
Away
53.5% (333)
40.7% (91)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Holmberg
P1
54.5%
47.1%
P2
51.1%
45.7%
P3
49.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Holmberg
40.0%▼
46.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:19 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:13 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Pontus Holmberg |