Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 44.6% vs Nash 48.2% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 80.1%
Neutral zone
Nash 67.6%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Kotkaniemi
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kotkaniemi
Nash
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 3-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Nash
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kotkaniemi
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (270)
48.3% (449)
-5.7%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
37.5% (8)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
45.5% (55)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Nash has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nash is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nash
Home
42.8% (166)
51.6% (275)
Away
42.9% (126)
43.5% (237)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nash
P1
40.2%
52.7%
P2
45.5%
43.9%
P3
42.7%
47.7%
Final 5 min
36.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
42.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:50 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 16:31 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 01:24 | Neutral | Riley Nash |