Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.2% vs 52.1%). Kotkaniemi wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 50.9% vs Nash 51.7% (-0.9%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 77.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 77.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kotkaniemi
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (309)
54.1% (292)
-4.3%
Power Play
64.5% (31)
57.1% (7)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
45.9% (98)
+4.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nash is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nash
Home
51.7% (203)
56.3% (183)
Away
50.4% (141)
48.6% (214)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nash
P1
49.5%
58.9%
P2
50.4%
51.0%
P3
53.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
52.1%