Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+1.4%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.0%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
47.6% (189)
+0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
29.4% (17)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.8% (126)
48.5% (132)
Away
50.0% (74)
43.4% (76)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
51.4%
P2
47.9%
41.3%
P3
45.6%
48.5%
Final 5 min
47.3%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%