Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Ryan Poehling
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 50.9%). Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Poehling 50.8% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 80.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 5-2 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
1
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
52.6% (622)
+0.2%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
58.3% (12)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
39.8% (103)
-25.5%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
Home
52.5% (366)
53.2% (393)
Away
51.0% (343)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Poehling
P1
53.8%
50.9%
P2
49.2%
56.2%
P3
52.6%
46.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 17:45 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 13:55 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |