Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sam Carrick
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Carrick 53.7% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 57.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 91.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 86.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 6-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
4
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
54.9% (428)
-7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
66.7% (3)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
50.0% (50)
-16.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carrick is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Home
46.5% (129)
58.2% (225)
Away
50.0% (84)
51.2% (256)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
P1
51.3%
55.2%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
45.9%
55.4%
Final 5 min
48.2%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Carrick
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |