Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sam Carrick
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kotkaniemi wins 54.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 69.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 69.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Last 7: Kotkaniemi 5-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
0
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
53.8% (654)
-1.0%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
0.0% (2)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
63.9% (36)
-49.6%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +49.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
Home
52.5% (366)
50.0% (328)
Away
51.0% (343)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Carrick
P1
53.8%
56.7%
P2
49.2%
51.1%
P3
52.6%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.3%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:04 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:43 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |