Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 49.2% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Kotkaniemi leads 20-18 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 79.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 85.0%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
18
(38 meetings)
20
18
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Last 10: Kotkaniemi 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
11
3
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
6
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
9
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (3,840)
51.5% (5,067)
-2.4%
Power Play
51.1% (350)
56.0% (100)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (35)
44.0% (1,063)
+1.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,774).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,037).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (2,194)
51.7% (3,152)
Away
48.6% (2,031)
48.7% (3,079)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Kuraly
P1
49.8%
50.8%
P2
50.5%
50.0%
P3
47.2%
49.9%
OT
50.0%
54.8%
Final 5 min
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 13:21 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 07:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:57 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 16:30 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |