Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sean Monahan
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.6%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.5% vs Monahan 52.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 62.1%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 52.5%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
Last 8: Kotkaniemi 1-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (670)
52.4% (853)
+0.4%
Power Play
37.5% (32)
58.6% (174)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
46.5% (144)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
Home
52.5% (366)
53.4% (624)
Away
51.0% (343)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Monahan
P1
53.8%
53.7%
P2
49.2%
52.4%
P3
52.6%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:16 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |