Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Sebastian Aho
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Aho 50.0% (-2.1%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 55.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kotkaniemi
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
49.9% (851)
-2.6%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.5% (144)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
43.3% (60)
-10.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Aho is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Aho
Home
46.5% (129)
53.2% (554)
Away
50.0% (84)
46.5% (501)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Aho
P1
51.3%
49.1%
P2
46.1%
50.8%
P3
45.9%
49.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%