Jesperi Kotkaniemi vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.6% vs Zegras 35.4% (+17.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 53.1%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 68.2%
Neutral zone
Zegras 51.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (207)
29.6% (230)
+17.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
32.1% (56)
+67.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +67.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Zegras is 30.7% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
Home
46.5% (129)
30.6% (147)
Away
50.0% (84)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Zegras
P1
51.3%
33.0%
P2
46.1%
31.7%
P3
45.9%
25.6%
Final 5 min
48.2%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%