Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Kotkaniemi wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 48.7% vs Jost 46.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 54.2%
Defensive zone
Jost 57.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 60.0%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Kotkaniemi
Jost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (195)
38.3% (47)
+9.4%
On even strength, Kotkaniemi has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Jost is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (33).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Home
46.8% (126)
36.4% (22)
Away
50.0% (74)
40.0% (25)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Jost
P1
50.0%
43.8%
P2
47.9%
36.8%
P3
45.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
30.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Jost
40.0%▼
44.5%
38.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |