Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kotkaniemi 51.3% vs Jost 45.0% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kotkaniemi 72.7%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 88.2%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Last 5: Kotkaniemi 4-1 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
0
Kotkaniemi
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
3
1
Kotkaniemi
Jost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (586)
43.3% (194)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
25.0% (8)
+37.5%
On penalty kill, Kotkaniemi has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (463).
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Jost is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (129).
Home / Away
Kotkaniemi
Jost
Home
49.5% (313)
39.7% (78)
Away
53.5% (333)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Kotkaniemi
Jost
P1
54.5%
40.5%
P2
51.1%
43.2%
P3
49.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.5%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:54 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:52 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |