Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Winchester 54.7% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Winchester leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 79.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Staal
Winchester
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Staal
Winchester
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Winchester
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Winchester
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
6
Staal
Winchester
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Winchester
0
1
Staal
Winchester
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Winchester
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
56.1% (469)
-8.7%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
41.7% (12)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
57.4% (61)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Winchester shoots right. Staal is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Staal shoots left. Winchester is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Staal
Winchester
Home
49.8% (880)
56.9% (299)
Away
46.2% (871)
54.1% (246)
By Period
Staal
Winchester
P1
46.4%
49.7%
P2
46.1%
59.8%
P3
50.7%
56.4%
OT
53.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Mar 22, 2011 | 2 | 06:14 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2010 | 2 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |