Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Winchester on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Eller 50.5% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Winchester leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Winchester 65.1%
Defensive zone
Winchester 64.1%
Neutral zone
Winchester 64.2%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Winchester
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Winchester
Eller
Last 10: Winchester 8-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
3
0
Winchester
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
5
1
Winchester
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Winchester
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
51.1% (10,296)
+4.1%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
52.8% (621)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
46.7% (1,751)
+4.7%
On power play, Eller has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Winchester shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,573).
Home / Away
Winchester
Eller
Home
54.7% (459)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
53.4% (451)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Winchester
Eller
P1
47.8%
51.2%
P2
57.8%
50.1%
P3
56.2%
50.2%
OT
57.1%
56.7%
Final 5 min
53.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 15, 2013 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 3 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Apr 7, 2011 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 21, 2011 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Dec 7, 2010 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 02:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |