Scouting Report
Jesse Winchester holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Winchester 53.7% vs Rupp 51.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rupp 65.5%
Defensive zone
Winchester 66.4%
Neutral zone
Winchester 50.3%
Result
Jesse Winchester favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Winchester
Rupp
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Winchester
Rupp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Winchester
1
0
Winchester
Rupp
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rupp
0
1
Winchester
Rupp
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rupp
0
1
Winchester
Rupp
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Winchester
Rupp
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (716)
52.4% (187)
+2.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
48.6% (35)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (175)
33.3% (3)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Winchester has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rupp shoots left. Winchester is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Winchester shoots right. Rupp is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Winchester
Rupp
Home
54.7% (459)
45.7% (127)
Away
53.4% (451)
59.6% (99)
By Period
Winchester
Rupp
P1
47.8%
44.8%
P2
57.8%
59.8%
P3
56.2%
50.9%
Final 5 min
53.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Winchester
44.0%▼
50.5%
54.1%
Rupp
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 14:08 | Neutral | Mike Rupp |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 11:53 | Offensive | Jesse Winchester |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Mike Rupp |