Scouting Report
Jim O'Brien holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 48.0% vs Elias 44.5% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 67.5%
Defensive zone
Elias 57.9%
Neutral zone
Elias 59.2%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
O'Brien
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Brien
Elias
Last 6: O'Brien 2-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
4
O'Brien
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
0
O'Brien
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (180)
44.7% (954)
+4.2%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
46.9% (196)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (67)
36.1% (180)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, O'Brien has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. O'Brien is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (190).
O'Brien shoots right. Elias is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Elias
Home
46.8% (139)
46.0% (692)
Away
47.9% (117)
42.2% (677)
By Period
O'Brien
Elias
P1
51.6%
40.7%
P2
46.1%
46.8%
P3
41.9%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
41.5%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |