Scouting Report
Jim O'Brien holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Elias on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Elias 42.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 81.4%
Defensive zone
Elias 60.7%
Neutral zone
Elias 62.8%
Result
Patrik Elias favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
O'Brien
Elias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Brien
Elias
Last 6: O'Brien 2-4 Elias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
0
4
O'Brien
Elias
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Brien
2
0
O'Brien
Elias
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Elias
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
42.3% (2,591)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
48.4% (405)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
36.0% (367)
+5.8%
On power play, O'Brien has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Elias shoots left. O'Brien is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (412).
O'Brien shoots right. Elias is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,179).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Elias
Home
47.1% (274)
43.2% (1,683)
Away
47.3% (330)
41.7% (1,725)
By Period
O'Brien
Elias
P1
47.2%
41.1%
P2
49.8%
43.1%
P3
43.6%
43.0%
OT
75.0%
43.2%
Final 5 min
42.6%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:18 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 08:10 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |