Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. O'Brien wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Nash 48.5% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Nash 57.8%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 52.8%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 54.1%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
O'Brien
Nash
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
48.7% (4,621)
+0.1%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
51.0% (249)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
44.9% (550)
-3.1%
On power play, O'Brien has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. O'Brien is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
O'Brien shoots right. Nash is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,674).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Nash
Home
47.1% (274)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.3% (330)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
O'Brien
Nash
P1
47.2%
49.0%
P2
49.8%
47.9%
P3
43.6%
48.0%
OT
75.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
42.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%