Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). O'Brien wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Brien 47.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Brien 64.8%
Defensive zone
O'Brien 77.3%
Neutral zone
O'Brien 76.7%
Result
Jim O'Brien favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
O'Brien
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
O'Brien
Bozak
Last 10: O'Brien 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
8
O'Brien
Bozak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Brien
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Brien
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Brien
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (451)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.9%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
55.2% (1,990)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (141)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.2%
On power play, O'Brien has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. O'Brien is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
O'Brien shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
O'Brien
Bozak
Home
47.1% (274)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
47.3% (330)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
O'Brien
Bozak
P1
47.2%
53.2%
P2
49.8%
52.8%
P3
43.6%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 3 | 03:25 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 07:27 | Offensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 23, 2013 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 05:01 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |