Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.0% vs 57.7%). Look for Gaustad on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Slater wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Slater 54.1%
Defensive zone
Slater 68.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 54.5%
Result
Jim Slater favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Slater
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Slater
Gaustad
Last 10: Slater 6-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
4
5
Slater
Gaustad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Slater
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Slater
Gaustad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
58.2% (4,334)
+0.7%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
65.4% (188)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
54.8% (1,290)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Slater is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,721).
Slater shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
Slater
Gaustad
Home
60.9% (1,436)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Slater
Gaustad
P1
57.0%
58.2%
P2
55.6%
56.4%
P3
58.4%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
66.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2015 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 08:48 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:03 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 07:49 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 20, 2010 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |