Scouting Report
Jim Slater holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Slater wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Slater 56.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 12-12 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 73.4%
Defensive zone
Slater 79.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 50.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Slater
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
12
(24 meetings)
12
12
Slater
Kesler
Last 10: Slater 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
9
Slater
Kesler
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Slater
7
1
Slater
Kesler
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Slater
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Slater
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,983)
56.4% (8,095)
+2.5%
Power Play
65.2% (46)
60.7% (1,437)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
51.4% (722)
50.5% (1,908)
+0.9%
On power play, Slater has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Slater is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,044).
Slater shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Slater
Kesler
Home
60.9% (1,436)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.7% (1,329)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Slater
Kesler
P1
57.0%
56.5%
P2
55.6%
55.9%
P3
58.4%
56.1%
OT
50.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Slater
74.0%▲
65.0%
57.0%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:55 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jim Slater |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 2 | 07:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 10:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 7, 2014 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 15:57 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:21 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:33 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 12, 2014 | 1 | 00:40 | Defensive | Jim Slater |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Jim Slater |