Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 40.2% vs Hartman 45.3% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.2%
Defensive zone
Hartman 69.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.4%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Hayes
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (202)
45.2% (4,235)
-9.1%
Power Play
34.3% (35)
47.4% (443)
-13.1%
On power play, Hartman has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Hayes is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Hayes shoots right. Hartman is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,381).
Home / Away
Hayes
Hartman
Home
34.7% (124)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
37.7% (114)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Hayes
Hartman
P1
38.6%
46.0%
P2
26.5%
42.9%
P3
43.5%
46.8%
Final 5 min
30.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%