Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 39.2% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 40.2% vs Reinhart 43.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.4%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 73.9%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.9%
Result
Jimmy Hayes favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Hayes
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Hayes
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (202)
42.5% (2,173)
-6.4%
Power Play
34.3% (35)
46.5% (525)
-12.2%
On power play, Reinhart has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Hayes is 39.2% vs right-shot opponents (79).
Hayes shoots right. Reinhart is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (754).
Home / Away
Hayes
Reinhart
Home
34.7% (124)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
37.7% (114)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Hayes
Reinhart
P1
38.6%
44.5%
P2
26.5%
40.5%
P3
43.5%
44.5%
Final 5 min
30.2%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
28.0%▼
35.5%
36.1%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2014 | 1 | 11:12 | Offensive | Jimmy Hayes |