Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (30.2% vs 30.7%). Vesey wins 29.3% vs right-shot opponents — Armia shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vesey 36.7% vs Armia 36.8% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Armia 54.9%
Defensive zone
Vesey 50.1%
Neutral zone
Vesey 51.0%
Result
Joel Armia favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Vesey
Armia
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vesey
Armia
Edge
Even Strength
29.9% (157)
31.6% (174)
-1.7%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
25.0% (8)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (35)
27.8% (36)
+3.6%
On power play, Vesey has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Armia shoots right. Vesey is 29.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Vesey shoots left. Armia is 32.9% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Vesey
Armia
Home
30.1% (113)
32.6% (95)
Away
30.4% (92)
29.3% (123)
By Period
Vesey
Armia
P1
34.2%
33.3%
P2
32.1%
30.5%
P3
21.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
22.6%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
30.2%
Armia
40.0%▲
30.0%
30.7%