Scouting Report
Tage Thompson holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Vesey wins 29.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vesey 36.7% vs Thompson 42.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vesey 58.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 56.4%
Neutral zone
Vesey 53.1%
Result
Jimmy Vesey favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Vesey
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Vesey
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Vesey
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vesey
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
29.9% (157)
43.0% (3,363)
-13.1%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
46.9% (369)
-16.1%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (35)
33.3% (252)
-1.9%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Vesey is 29.3% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Vesey shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,874).
Home / Away
Vesey
Thompson
Home
30.1% (113)
45.1% (2,037)
Away
30.4% (92)
40.2% (1,947)
By Period
Vesey
Thompson
P1
34.2%
44.7%
P2
32.1%
43.5%
P3
21.3%
40.3%
OT
0.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
22.6%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vesey
30.0%▬
30.5%
30.2%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |