Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hudler wins 39.7% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hudler 43.0% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hudler 71.8%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 66.4%
Neutral zone
Hudler 53.0%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hudler
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hudler
Pavelski
Last 5: Hudler 2-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hudler
2
0
Hudler
Pavelski
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
0
3
Hudler
Pavelski
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hudler
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
38.0% (158)
53.6% (8,791)
-15.6%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
58.2% (2,122)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (6)
50.9% (1,138)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Hudler is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Hudler shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Hudler
Pavelski
Home
42.6% (115)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
35.9% (92)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Hudler
Pavelski
P1
44.2%
53.5%
P2
31.9%
55.2%
P3
39.2%
53.9%
OT
71.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
37.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hudler
46.0%▲
38.5%
39.6%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:10 | Offensive | Jiri Hudler |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jiri Hudler |