Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kulich wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 46.2% vs Tavares 57.7% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kulich 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kulich 59.5%
Neutral zone
Kulich 61.6%
Result
Jiri Kulich favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Kulich
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Kulich
Tavares
Last 5: Kulich 2-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Kulich
Tavares
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
2
Kulich
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kulich
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (513)
57.7% (998)
-12.3%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
60.5% (271)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
56.4% (39)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kulich is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Kulich shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Kulich
Tavares
Home
46.8% (267)
59.7% (610)
Away
44.3% (291)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Kulich
Tavares
P1
45.6%
57.2%
P2
48.0%
58.5%
P3
42.9%
59.4%
OT
0.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2024 | 3 | 07:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Dec 15, 2024 | 1 | 01:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |