Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kulich on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kulich wins 31.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 44.9% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 64.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 85.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 67.7%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Kulich
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Kulich
Kastelic
Last 7: Kulich 4-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
3
0
Kulich
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
3
Kulich
Kastelic
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kulich
1
0
Kulich
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (147)
61.2% (340)
-18.3%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
83.3% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.0% (141)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kulich is 31.9% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Kulich shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Kulich
Kastelic
Home
43.9% (98)
60.9% (233)
Away
38.5% (65)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Kulich
Kastelic
P1
53.1%
58.6%
P2
40.4%
58.7%
P3
33.9%
63.1%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.2%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
41.7%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Offensive | Jiri Kulich |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |