Scouting Report
Jiri Kulich holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kulich wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 45.3% vs Kelly 41.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 63.4%
Defensive zone
Kelly 79.1%
Neutral zone
Kelly 62.0%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Kulich
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kulich
Kelly
Last 5: Kulich 1-4 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Kulich
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
3
Kulich
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (661)
41.9% (756)
+2.9%
Power Play
46.8% (47)
0.0% (3)
+46.8%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
37.2% (172)
-8.6%
On power play, Kulich has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kulich is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Kulich shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Home / Away
Kulich
Kelly
Home
46.0% (365)
42.5% (475)
Away
43.1% (357)
39.3% (456)
By Period
Kulich
Kelly
P1
47.0%
42.4%
P2
46.3%
44.7%
P3
40.8%
35.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.6%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
40.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |