Scouting Report
Jiri Kulich holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kulich wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kelly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 46.2% vs Kelly 43.9% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 75.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 57.9%
Result
Parker Kelly favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Kulich
Kelly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kulich
Kelly
Last 5: Kulich 1-4 Kelly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
0
1
Kulich
Kelly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
3
Kulich
Kelly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Kelly
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (513)
44.8% (556)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
0.0% (2)
+53.1%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
36.8% (144)
-6.0%
On power play, Kulich has a +53.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kelly shoots left. Kulich is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Kulich shoots left. Kelly is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Home / Away
Kulich
Kelly
Home
46.8% (267)
44.8% (368)
Away
44.3% (291)
41.0% (334)
By Period
Kulich
Kelly
P1
45.6%
46.7%
P2
48.0%
48.0%
P3
42.9%
34.8%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
35.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
Kelly
46.0%▲
38.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:08 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 10:12 | Defensive | Parker Kelly |
| Dec 3, 2024 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Parker Kelly |