Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kulich on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kulich wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 46.2% vs Monahan 52.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 84.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 92.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 88.2%
11.8%
88.2%
Kulich
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kulich
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
1
0
Kulich
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kulich
1
0
Kulich
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kulich
3
1
Kulich
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (513)
52.4% (853)
-7.0%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
58.6% (174)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
46.5% (144)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kulich is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Kulich shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Kulich
Monahan
Home
46.8% (267)
53.4% (624)
Away
44.3% (291)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Kulich
Monahan
P1
45.6%
53.7%
P2
48.0%
52.4%
P3
42.9%
51.6%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%