Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kulich wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 46.2% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 80.2%
Defensive zone
Kulich 80.0%
Neutral zone
Kulich 80.0%
Result
Jiri Kulich favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Kulich
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kulich
Karlsson
Last 5: Kulich 1-4 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Kulich
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Kulich
Karlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (513)
58.6% (597)
-13.2%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
57.9% (57)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
51.9% (52)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kulich is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Kulich shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Kulich
Karlsson
Home
46.8% (267)
59.6% (344)
Away
44.3% (291)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Kulich
Karlsson
P1
45.6%
53.1%
P2
48.0%
62.1%
P3
42.9%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | William Karlsson |