Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Toews 57.8% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 74.9%
Defensive zone
Hecht 78.7%
Neutral zone
Hecht 86.5%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Hecht
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hecht
Toews
Last 10: Hecht 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
6
Hecht
Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hecht
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
57.1% (12,906)
-13.9%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
63.2% (3,220)
-19.1%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
53.6% (1,808)
-11.6%
On power play, Toews has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,532).
Home / Away
Hecht
Toews
Home
45.5% (714)
59.6% (9,086)
Away
40.7% (668)
56.1% (8,879)
By Period
Hecht
Toews
P1
41.9%
58.7%
P2
44.7%
57.7%
P3
43.1%
57.2%
OT
40.0%
58.8%
Final 5 min
44.1%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 04:12 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 15:07 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 18, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:21 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |