Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Hecht wins 43.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.5% vs Eller 49.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 56.7%
Defensive zone
Hecht 62.2%
Neutral zone
Hecht 61.2%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Hecht
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hecht
Eller
Last 8: Hecht 3-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Hecht
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hecht
1
0
Hecht
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Hecht
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (273)
49.5% (457)
-6.6%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
57.7% (26)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
44.1% (59)
-4.9%
On power play, Eller has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hecht is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Hecht shoots left. Eller is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Hecht
Eller
Home
44.2% (208)
51.0% (259)
Away
37.9% (145)
47.7% (283)
By Period
Hecht
Eller
P1
39.8%
45.7%
P2
39.1%
44.3%
P3
46.2%
56.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
41.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |