Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hecht 74.2%
Defensive zone
Hecht 78.2%
Neutral zone
Hecht 75.4%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 75.6%
75.6%
24.4%
Hecht
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Hecht
Eller
Last 10: Hecht 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Hecht
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hecht
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
4
Hecht
Eller
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
51.1% (10,296)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
52.8% (621)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
46.7% (1,751)
-4.7%
On power play, Eller has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
Hecht
Eller
Home
45.5% (714)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
40.7% (668)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
Hecht
Eller
P1
41.9%
51.2%
P2
44.7%
50.1%
P3
43.1%
50.2%
OT
40.0%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 19:30 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 11, 2013 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 11:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 18:59 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 14:32 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2011 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |