Scouting Report
Olli Jokinen holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hecht wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hecht 43.7% vs Jokinen 46.4% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hecht 50.9%
Defensive zone
Hecht 63.7%
Neutral zone
Hecht 57.4%
Result
Jochen Hecht favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Hecht
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Hecht
Jokinen
Last 8: Hecht 2-6 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Hecht
Jokinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Hecht
Jokinen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Hecht
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hecht
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (1,074)
45.8% (3,924)
-2.6%
Power Play
44.1% (93)
50.8% (585)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (207)
42.9% (247)
-0.9%
On power play, Jokinen has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Hecht is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Hecht shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Hecht
Jokinen
Home
45.5% (714)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
40.7% (668)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Hecht
Jokinen
P1
41.9%
45.6%
P2
44.7%
47.5%
P3
43.1%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
44.1%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hecht
44.0%▲
41.5%
43.2%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 03:04 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 2 | 09:26 | Defensive | Jochen Hecht |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 27, 2010 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |