Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Malkin wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 43.9% vs Colborne 43.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 61.0%
Defensive zone
Colborne 60.9%
Neutral zone
Colborne 53.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Malkin
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Malkin
Colborne
Last 6: Malkin 5-1 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
3
0
Malkin
Colborne
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colborne
0
1
Malkin
Colborne
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
0
Malkin
Colborne
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (827)
31.5% (92)
+11.2%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
64.7% (17)
-1.5%
On even strength, Malkin has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Malkin is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Malkin shoots left. Colborne is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Malkin
Colborne
Home
45.1% (426)
52.6% (38)
Away
41.2% (420)
31.6% (79)
By Period
Malkin
Colborne
P1
41.3%
41.9%
P2
44.0%
36.6%
P3
44.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.1%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
38.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 14:23 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 2 | 02:51 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 1 | 09:33 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |